Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000287 0.000321 0.000358 0.000401 0.000449 0.000503 0.000567
2025-01-05 0.000231 0.000282 0.000341 0.000418 0.000513 0.000629 0.000782
2025-01-12 0.000188 0.000243 0.000313 0.000409 0.000538 0.000707 0.000947
2025-01-19 0.000154 0.000209 0.000283 0.000389 0.000540 0.000751 0.001071
2025-01-26 0.000137 0.000194 0.000273 0.000393 0.000573 0.000838 0.001265
2025-02-02 0.000128 0.000188 0.000274 0.000412 0.000628 0.000962 0.001532
2025-02-09 0.000115 0.000173 0.000262 0.000407 0.000646 0.001031 0.001721
2025-02-16 0.000105 0.000164 0.000255 0.000411 0.000676 0.001123 0.001961
2025-02-23 0.000096 0.000153 0.000245 0.000407 0.000692 0.001192 0.002171
2025-03-02 0.000089 0.000146 0.000240 0.000409 0.000720 0.001284 0.002435
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000138 0.000232 0.000408 0.000740 0.001364 0.002690
2025-03-16 0.000074 0.000126 0.000217 0.000389 0.000725 0.001376 0.002807
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000121 0.000212 0.000391 0.000751 0.001475 0.003133
2025-03-30 0.000067 0.000119 0.000214 0.000408 0.000810 0.001648 0.003658
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000111 0.000205 0.000399 0.000815 0.001711 0.003944
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000102 0.000191 0.000380 0.000794 0.001715 0.004089
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000098 0.000188 0.000384 0.000826 0.001841 0.004562
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000098 0.000192 0.000402 0.000891 0.002055 0.005311
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000093 0.000186 0.000398 0.000904 0.002144 0.005738
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000090 0.000183 0.000401 0.000936 0.002287 0.006351
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000086 0.000178 0.000397 0.000949 0.002383 0.006847
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000083 0.000175 0.000400 0.000978 0.002527 0.007523
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000080 0.000171 0.000399 0.000998 0.002648 0.008157